Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
