Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bermejo (57')
Lopez (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Real Zaragoza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 39.41%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.77%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
39.41% ( -0.09) | 30.83% ( 0.29) | 29.76% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 39.23% ( -0.75) |
| 31.85% ( -0.86) | 68.15% ( 0.86) |
| 13.97% ( -0.58) | 86.03% ( 0.57) |
| 66.14% ( -0.52) | 33.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.48% ( -0.57) | 70.52% ( 0.56) |
| 59.31% ( -0.66) | 40.69% ( 0.66) |
