Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
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