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Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Romareda

Zaragoza
2 - 1
Villarreal II

Grau (45+1'), Zapater (90+3')
Lopez (22'), Vada (53'), Puche (63'), Zapater (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tasende (74')
Fall (81'), Jorgensen (83')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-0 Zaragoza
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-2 Ponferradina
Wednesday, October 12 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawVillarreal II
56.14% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04) 25.76% (0.004999999999999 0) 18.1% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.22% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (0.062000000000005 0.06)47.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (0.045999999999999 0.05)82.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 56.13%
    Villarreal II 18.1%
    Draw 25.75%
Real ZaragozaDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 15.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Zaragoza
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-1 Real Oviedo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Eibar
Monday, October 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 2-0 Zaragoza
Saturday, September 24 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-2 Zaragoza
Sunday, September 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-2 Ponferradina
Wednesday, October 12 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 3-1 Villarreal II
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-0 Burgos
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 3-1 Lugo
Saturday, September 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 4-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division


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