SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Ponferradina |
52.79% ( 0.22) | 24.67% ( -0.1) | 22.54% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.41% ( 0.28) | 51.59% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( 0.24) | 73.38% ( -0.24) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( 0.19) | 19.51% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( 0.31) | 51.39% ( -0.32) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0.04) | 37.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.53% ( 0.04) | 74.47% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.78% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.54% |
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