Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.08) 
