Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 41.51%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Sabadell win it was 0-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.