Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.34%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.14%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
