Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
-2.24) 
0.63) 
