Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.33%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (6.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.64%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.
