SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.33%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (6.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.64%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 38.33% | 32.14% | 29.53% |
| Both teams to score 36.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.41% | 71.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.76% | 88.23% |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% | 36.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.75% | 73.25% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.08% | 42.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.78% | 79.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 15.78% 2-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.32% | 0-0 @ 15.64% 1-1 @ 13.35% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.12% | 0-1 @ 13.23% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.53% |
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