Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.84%. A draw had a probability of 33.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 2-1 (6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.91%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (14.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Alcorcon |
35.84% | 33.76% | 30.4% |
Both teams to score 33.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.79% | 75.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
9.61% | 90.39% |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.69% | 40.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.06% | 76.93% |
Alcorcon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.55% | 44.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.51% | 80.49% |
Score Analysis |
Ponferradina | Draw | Alcorcon |
1-0 @ 16.27% 2-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.11% Total : 35.83% | 0-0 @ 17.91% 1-1 @ 13.2% 2-2 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 33.75% | 0-1 @ 14.52% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.6% Total : 30.4% |
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