Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
