Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
Result | ||
Burgos | Draw | UD Ibiza |
44.93% ( -0.09) | 27.87% ( 0.02) | 27.2% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.4% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.07% ( -0.05) | 59.92% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.82% ( -0.04) | 80.18% ( 0.03) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.07) | 26.61% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( -0.09) | 61.83% ( 0.09) |
UD Ibiza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.86% ( 0.03) | 38.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.1% ( 0.03) | 74.9% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Burgos | Draw | UD Ibiza |
1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 27.2% |
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