Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
