Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.06) 
