Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
