SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 41.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 29.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Real Oviedo |
41.21% ( -0.01) | 29.73% ( -0.02) | 29.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.61% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.85% ( 0.07) | 65.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.01% ( 0.05) | 83.99% ( -0.05) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( 0.03) | 31.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.47% ( 0.03) | 67.52% ( -0.03) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.07) | 39.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.78% ( 0.06) | 76.22% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 14.36% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.72% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 29.05% |
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