Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.93%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.17%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
