SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Malaga |
42.74% ( 0.79) | 28.99% ( -0.23) | 28.26% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.52) | 63.15% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( 0.38) | 82.58% ( -0.38) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( 0.71) | 29.32% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( 0.86) | 65.29% ( -0.86) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( -0.17) | 39.06% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% ( -0.16) | 75.77% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.47% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 28.26% |
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