SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Real Oviedo |
33.43% ( -0.01) | 28.38% ( 0.12) | 38.2% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.22% ( -0.41) | 59.78% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( -0.32) | 80.07% ( 0.32) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( -0.23) | 33.34% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( -0.25) | 69.96% ( 0.25) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.27) | 30.28% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( -0.32) | 66.45% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.2% |
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