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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
BL

Udinese
3 - 0
Bologna

Pereyra (23'), Lucca (48'), Payero (52')
Pereyra (45+2'), Success (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Urbanski (5'), Ferguson (45+3'), Freuler (63'), Zirkzee (72'), Fabbian (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 0-1 Bologna

Bologna are a well-oiled machine under Thiago Motta, and it is not asking too much for the Rossoblu to post a fifth straight win to finish 2023 in fitting style. As Udinese lack a reliable finisher and are at a low ebb in terms of confidence, expect the away side to head home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawBologna
42.17% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 26.24%31.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)52.05% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.78% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.025000000000006 0.03)58.87% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)30.65% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)66.89% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 42.17%
    Bologna 31.58%
    Draw 26.24%
UdineseDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 31.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Udinese
Saturday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Udinese
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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