SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Roma |
29.56% ( -0.04) | 26.37% ( -0.19) | 44.07% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% ( 0.72) | 53.33% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( 0.61) | 74.87% ( -0.6) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( 0.34) | 32.74% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.71% ( 0.38) | 69.3% ( -0.38) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.44) | 24.06% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.66% ( 0.61) | 58.34% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.07% |
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