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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
IL

Bologna
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Zirkzee (25'), Freuler (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-2 Inter Milan

In what should be a fascinating contest between two red-hot teams, the home side may see their proud home record dented. Inter have shown no signs of slowing their relentless pace, and although Bologna should score at least once, Italy's champions-elect are bound for three more points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
BolognaDrawInter Milan
28.33% (-0.16 -0.16) 27.81% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 43.86% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78% (0.209 0.21)59.22% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36% (0.16 0.16)79.64% (-0.163 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.22200000000001 0.22)26.83% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.29199999999999 0.29)62.13% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 28.33%
    Inter Milan 43.85%
    Draw 27.81%
BolognaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 43.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, February 18 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, February 14 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Genoa
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A


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