Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
