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CL
Coppa Italia | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
HV

Cagliari
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Cerri (30'), Sottil (90+3')
Pedro (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Colley (74')
Danzi (15'), Amione (40'), Dawidowicz (41')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Fourth Round clash between Cagliari and Hellas Verona.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawHellas Verona
37.31%25.42%37.27%
Both teams to score 56.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.79%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.63%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.66%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.31%
    Hellas Verona 37.27%
    Draw 25.41%
CagliariDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.27%


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