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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
SC

Cagliari
2 - 2
Spezia

Pedro (52'), Pavoletti (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyasi (36'), N'Zola (90+3' pen.)
Ferrer (30'), Terzi (33'), Estevez (44'), Chabot (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawSpezia
30.52%25.2%44.27%
Both teams to score 55.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89%48.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72%70.27%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61%29.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62%65.37%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1%54.89%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 30.52%
    Spezia 44.27%
    Draw 25.2%
CagliariDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-1 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.52%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 4.64%
0-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.27%

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