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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
IL

Cagliari
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Sottil (42')
Farago (10'), Pavoletti (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barella (77'), D'Ambrosio (84'), Lukaku (90+4')
Darmian (16')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawInter Milan
13.05%16.8%70.14%
Both teams to score 57.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82%32.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.22%53.77%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04%36.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.25%73.75%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79%8.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.26%28.73%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 13.05%
    Inter Milan 70.14%
    Draw 16.8%
CagliariDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 3.76%
1-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 1.56%
2-0 @ 1.5%
3-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 13.05%
1-1 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.7%
0-0 @ 3.03%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.8%
0-2 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 7.9%
1-3 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-4 @ 4.94%
1-4 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.92%
0-5 @ 2.47%
1-5 @ 2.46%
2-4 @ 2.45%
2-5 @ 1.22%
0-6 @ 1.03%
1-6 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.14%

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