SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Venezia |
48.33% ( -0.28) | 26.47% ( 0.3) | 25.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( -1.11) | 56.19% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( -0.91) | 77.24% ( 0.91) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.6) | 23.29% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.78% ( -0.88) | 57.23% ( 0.89) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.2% ( -0.62) | 37.8% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.43% ( -0.61) | 74.57% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.2% |
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