Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
