Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
-0.41) 
0.13) 
