For all Monza's improvement and Juve's stumbles, it remains a tall task for the visitors to reach the quarter-finals given the calibre of their opponents. Factoring in a tally of just two wins from nine away fixtures this term, even a much-altered Juve side should see off the Biancorossi's threat and progress to the last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Monza had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
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