SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cremonese | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 7 | -9 | 2 |
| 20 | Monza | 6 | -11 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lazio | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Torino | 7 | -1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Juventus |
41.47% ( 0.33) | 24.74% ( 0.02) | 33.79% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.17) | 44.92% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0.16) | 67.27% ( 0.16) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( 0.09) | 21.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( 0.14) | 54.82% ( -0.14) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.29) | 25.74% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.39) | 60.67% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Juventus |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.47% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.79% |
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