SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Monza |
58.7% ( 0.23) | 22.05% ( -0.06) | 19.25% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0.04) | 44.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.04) | 67.05% ( -0.04) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% ( 0.09) | 14.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.75% ( 0.17) | 43.25% ( -0.17) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% ( -0.15) | 37.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% ( -0.15) | 73.87% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.25% |
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