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Thursday, November 21
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JL
Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
RL

Juventus
1 - 3
Roma

Higuain (5')
Rugani (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kalinic (23'), Perotti (44' pen., 52')
Smalling (40'), Perotti (45+1'), Cristante (54'), Fazio (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawRoma
49.65%22.56%27.79%
Both teams to score 62.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15%59.85%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56%15.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.92%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 49.65%
    Roma 27.79%
    Draw 22.55%
JuventusDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.96%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-1 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.79%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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