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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
HV

Roma
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Veretout (10' pen.), Dzeko (45+3')
Mancini (63'), Zaniolo (71'), Cristante (78'), Villar (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pessina (47')
Veloso (9'), Pessina (67'), Eysseric (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
59.4%21.39%19.2%
Both teams to score 55.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2%41.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79%64.2%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28%13.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.03%40.97%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77%72.22%
Score Analysis
    Roma 59.4%
    Hellas Verona 19.2%
    Draw 21.38%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 9.6%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 3.27%
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-1 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.2%


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