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Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
RL

Torino
2 - 3
Roma

Berenguer (14'), Singo (66')
Lyanco (23'), Meite (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dzeko (16'), Smalling (23'), Diawara (61' pen.)
Perez (35'), Mancini (38'), Zaniolo (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Torino had a probability of 22.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
22.19%21.41%56.41%
Both teams to score 60.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.27%37.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02%59.98%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72%30.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55%66.46%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7%13.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.87%40.13%
Score Analysis
    Torino 22.19%
    Roma 56.41%
    Draw 21.41%
TorinoDrawRoma
2-1 @ 5.8%
1-0 @ 4.81%
2-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-1 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 4.03%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 8.2%
0-1 @ 8.12%
1-3 @ 6.59%
0-3 @ 5.51%
2-3 @ 3.93%
1-4 @ 3.32%
0-4 @ 2.78%
2-4 @ 1.98%
1-5 @ 1.34%
0-5 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 56.41%


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