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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Jul 11, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
RL

Brescia
0 - 3
Roma


Tonali (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fazio (48'), Kalinic (62'), Zaniolo (74')
Peres (61'), Perotti (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Brescia win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawRoma
21.03%21.46%57.5%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.49%39.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.15%61.85%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45%13.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37%40.63%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 21.03%
    Roma 57.5%
    Draw 21.46%
BresciaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 5.58%
1-0 @ 4.95%
2-0 @ 2.79%
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.03%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.58%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 8.75%
1-3 @ 6.58%
0-3 @ 5.83%
2-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 3.29%
0-4 @ 2.91%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 57.5%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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