Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
