MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 18:53:49
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Thursday, March 28
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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
S

Napoli
4 - 1
Salernitana

Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')

We said: Napoli 4-0 Salernitana

There is only one viable outcome from this lopsided derby encounter, as Napoli have several men returning to aid their quest to get back in the title race, and their visitors are rock-bottom and beset with absences. With competition for places back on the agenda for the Partenopei, the likes of Osimhen, Mertens and Lozano will go all out to establish their credentials before upcoming clashes with Inter and Barcelona - resulting in a torrid afternoon for Serie B-bound Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSalernitana
73.63%15.98%10.39%
Both teams to score 51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.25%35.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17%57.83%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66%8.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95%29.05%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19%43.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03%79.97%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 73.63%
    Salernitana 10.39%
    Draw 15.98%
NapoliDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.27%
3-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1.19%
6-1 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 73.63%
1-1 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 3.84%
0-0 @ 3.65%
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.98%
1-2 @ 3.09%
0-1 @ 3.01%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.39%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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