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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
NL

Salernitana
0 - 1
Napoli


Kastanos (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zielinski (61')
Zambo Anguissa (41'), Rui (74')
Koulibaly (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawNapoli
15.12%20.55%64.33%
Both teams to score 49.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8%45.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45%67.55%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6%42.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22%78.77%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68%13.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.82%40.17%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 15.12%
    Napoli 64.32%
    Draw 20.55%
SalernitanaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.85%
2-1 @ 4.19%
2-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.12%
1-1 @ 9.77%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.55%
0-2 @ 11.47%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-3 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.89%
1-4 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-5 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.43%
1-5 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 64.32%

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