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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
S

Fiorentina
4 - 0
Salernitana

Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kastanos (20')

We said: Fiorentina 4-1 Salernitana

The contrasting combination of Fiorentina's relentless attack and Salernitana's inability to defend suggests only one outcome in the Tuscan capital, as the hosts should hit the net multiple times. Though old warrior Franck Ribery will be determined to shine again on the Florentine stage, his lesser-known teammates are finding the adaptation to life in the elite a little too hot to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
66.61%19.53%13.85%
Both teams to score 50.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61%43.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21%65.79%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88%12.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.3%37.69%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93%43.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65%79.35%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 66.6%
    Salernitana 13.85%
    Draw 19.53%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.62%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 6.89%
4-0 @ 4.32%
4-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.28%
0-0 @ 5.22%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.53%
0-1 @ 4.4%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.85%

Read more!
Read more!


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