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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Ennio Tardini
IL

Parma
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gervinho (15')
Dermaku (30'), Kucka (49'), R. (86'), Kurtic (89')
Kucka (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Vrij (84'), Bastoni (87')
Martinez (27'), Gagliardini (49'), Godin (71'), Moses (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawInter Milan
20.8%22.26%56.94%
Both teams to score 55.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52%43.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12%65.88%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19%34.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45%71.55%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94%15.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.44%43.57%
Score Analysis
    Parma 20.8%
    Inter Milan 56.94%
    Draw 22.26%
ParmaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.8%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.4%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-3 @ 5.93%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.96%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.94%


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