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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
GL

Roma
1 - 0
Genoa

Mancini (24')
Mancini (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Masiello (42'), Destro (45+1'), Strootman (64'), Criscito (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawGenoa
69.93%17.72%12.35%
Both teams to score 51.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38%38.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07%60.93%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.08%9.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.16%32.84%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.66%42.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.27%78.73%
Score Analysis
    Roma 69.93%
    Genoa 12.35%
    Draw 17.72%
RomaDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 11.21%
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 7.42%
4-0 @ 4.99%
4-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.19%
5-0 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 69.93%
1-1 @ 8.34%
0-0 @ 4.2%
2-2 @ 4.14%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.61%
1-2 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 12.35%

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