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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
RL

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Roma

Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
30.15%24.59%45.26%
Both teams to score 57.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43%45.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1%67.89%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64%28.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91%64.09%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77%20.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44%52.56%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 30.15%
    Roma 45.26%
    Draw 24.58%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.28%
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.15%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 9.17%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 4.92%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.26%

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