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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Dec 17, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
TL

Roma
3 - 1
Torino

Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawTorino
70.58%16.78%12.63%
Both teams to score 56.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8%33.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.04%54.95%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.63%8.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.86%29.13%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72%38.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96%75.03%
Score Analysis
    Roma 70.58%
    Torino 12.63%
    Draw 16.78%
RomaDrawTorino
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 5.06%
4-1 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.76%
5-0 @ 2.51%
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-2 @ 1.16%
6-0 @ 1.04%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 70.58%
1-1 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 3.2%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.78%
1-2 @ 3.67%
0-1 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 12.63%

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