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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija
RL

CSKA Sofia
3 - 1
Roma

Rodrigues (5'), Sowe (34', 55')
Antov (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Milanese (22')
Tripi (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
CSKA SofiaDrawRoma
35.13%24.42%40.45%
Both teams to score 59.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88%43.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48%65.52%
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.42%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62%54.37%
Score Analysis
    CSKA Sofia 35.13%
    Roma 40.45%
    Draw 24.41%
CSKA SofiaDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.05%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.13%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.45%

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