Napoli
4 - 0
Roma

Insigne (31'), Fabian (64'), Mertens (81'), Politano (86')
Di Lorenzo (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ibanez (29'), Cristante (77')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Roma
41.15%	23.86%	34.99%

Both teams to score 61.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.54%

40.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.16%

62.84%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93%

52.08%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03%

22.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24%

56.76%

Score Analysis

Napoli 41.15%

Roma 34.99%

Draw 23.86%

Napoli	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.15%	1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.99%