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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Dec 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
BL

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Benevento

Berardi (8' pen.)
Berardi (40'), Ayhan (86')
Haraslin (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hetemaj (9'), Ionita (23'), Barba (69'), Dabo (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawBenevento
43.87%23.59%32.53%
Both teams to score 61.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1%39.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74%62.25%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48%18.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25%49.74%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91%24.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63%58.37%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 43.88%
    Benevento 32.53%
    Draw 23.59%
SassuoloDrawBenevento
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-1 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.53%

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