Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.