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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
NL

Benevento
1 - 2
Napoli

Insigne (30')
Caprari (45+1'), Foulon (57'), Glik (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Insigne (60'), Petagna (67')
Politano (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawNapoli
22.73%22.88%54.39%
Both teams to score 56.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12%43.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74%66.26%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77%33.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16%69.84%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95%16.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.59%45.41%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 22.73%
    Napoli 54.4%
    Draw 22.88%
BeneventoDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 5.92%
1-0 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 3.24%
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.73%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.42%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-1 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 8.92%
1-3 @ 6%
0-3 @ 5.44%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-4 @ 2.49%
2-4 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 54.4%


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