Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.
